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Home Trading News Forex

USD/JPY Outlook: BOJ’s Subtle Hawkish Shift Lifts Yen

September 22, 2025
in Forex
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USD/JPY Outlook: BOJ’s Subtle Hawkish Shift Lifts Yen
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The USD/JPY outlook suggests some energy within the yen after Friday’s barely hawkish BoJ coverage assembly.
Japan has to decide on a brand new prime minister on October 4th.
Merchants will watch Fed policymakers’ remarks for extra clues on fee cuts.

The USD/JPY outlook suggests some energy within the yen after Friday’s barely hawkish Financial institution of Japan coverage assembly. In the meantime, the greenback retreated at first of per week when Fed policymakers will reveal their views on the economic system and future coverage strikes.

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On Friday, the Financial institution of Japan held its coverage assembly and determined to maintain rates of interest unchanged. Nevertheless, the hawkish shock got here when two members voted to hike rates of interest. The transfer briefly boosted the yen, however greenback energy undid all these features.

Nevertheless, focus has returned to what this might imply for future coverage. Inside stress means policymakers are gaining confidence that the economic system wants greater borrowing prices. Subsequently, it will increase the chance of a near-term fee hike.

Nevertheless, earlier than that, Japan has to decide on a brand new prime minister on October 4th. The brand new chief may even play an enormous position in figuring out the BoJ’s coverage path.

In the meantime, the Fed assumed a extra dovish tone final week and minimize charges by 25-bps. This week, merchants will watch policymakers’ remarks for extra clues on fee cuts. Dovish remarks might weigh on the greenback.

USD/JPY key occasions right now

Merchants should not anticipating any key financial releases from the US or Japan. Subsequently, the pair might consolidate.

USD/JPY technical outlook: Aiming to check the 149.00 vary resistance

USD/JPY technical outlook
USD/JPY 4-hour chart

On the technical aspect, the USD/JPY worth trades above the 30-SMA, with the RSI above 50, suggesting a bullish bias. The transfer comes after the worth obtained rejected on the 146.50 help degree. Bears made an try to breach this help however failed, permitting bulls to take cost.

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Nevertheless, though bulls are within the lead, the worth remains to be consolidating on a bigger scale. It’s buying and selling in a sideways transfer between the 149.00 resistance and the 146.50 help. On this vary, bears and bulls are exhibiting virtually equal energy. Because of this, the worth is simply chopping by means of the SMA.

However, since bulls are at present within the lead, the worth might quickly problem the vary resistance. Nevertheless, it appears able to retest the SMA earlier than climbing. A bullish breakout would permit USD/JPY to retest the 150.75 key resistance degree.

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Tags: BoJsHawkishLiftsOutlookShiftSubtleUSDJPYYen
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