USDA cattle stock information has the US herd declining to complete the 2024/25FY 1% decrease YoY at 95.4 million head. The calf crop declined as effectively to 33.1 million head, which is the bottom on report (a dataset that stretches again to the Nineteen Seventies). Tighter cattle availability will restrict the scope for lowering US cattle costs and rising beef manufacturing (and exports). The can retains getting kicked down the street on the US herd rebuild.
On Mecardo this week, Jamie-Lee Oldfield had a have a look at the dimensions of Brazilian beef exports to the US this 12 months to this point (learn extra right here). YTD beef exports from Brazil to the US have doubled, however can be beneath excessive strain if proposed tariffs had been to be applied. This week’s govt order from the white home on commerce with Brazil supplied a major variety of items that had been exempt from tariffs, however beef was not on the record. An expectation of a 50% tariff on beef will now improve the US reliance on Australian product, and sure a rise in volumes from Brazil heading to China. So, this can take some shine off our current enchancment in commerce with China, however general, the commerce coverage developments this week will doubtless see the Australian beef trade higher off from a quantity and worth viewpoint within the quick time period.
Once we tie all of those bullish drivers for exports along with one other drop in saleyard throughput, the result’s one other week of all indicators averaging double-digit enhancements.
Nationwide yardings had been 17% decrease Week on Week, the bottom full working week of the 12 months, as rain fell all through southern Australia.
Provide was positively a driver of the upward momentum in pricing, however the export fundamentals had been doubtless entrance of thoughts, leading to Processor cow indicators being greatest on floor, averaging a 46¢ raise to 374¢/kg lwt. Roma and Dalby saleyard reviews cited sturdy competitors amongst processors from all around the East Coast.
The Japanese Younger Cattle Indicator (EYCI) shot up 50¢ to 822¢/kg cwt as feeders and restockers bid strongly for each steers and heifers. A bunch of rain stored yardings decrease for yearlings, which helped enhance motivation for buying inventory.
