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Home Trading News Forex

GBP/USD Weekly Forecast: On the Back Foot as BoE Cut Nears

August 4, 2025
in Forex
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GBP/USD Weekly Forecast: On the Back Foot as BoE Cut Nears
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The GBP/USD weekly forecast suggests additional draw back.

The US financial system grew by 3.0%, in comparison with the forecast of two.5%.

The greenback retreated on Friday after information revealed slower-than-expected job development in July.

The GBP/USD weekly forecast suggests additional draw back as market members put together for a Financial institution of England fee minimize.

Ups and downs of GBP/USD 

The GBP/USD value had a bearish week because the greenback strengthened on upbeat information and better tariffs. Nonetheless, there was a pullback after the nonfarm payrolls report. 

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Firstly of the week, information revealed stable personal employment. On the similar time, the financial system grew by 3.0%, in comparison with the forecast of two.5%. The info boosted the greenback. Furthermore, Trump imposed greater tariffs on a number of international locations, which despatched Treasury yields and the greenback greater. 

Nonetheless, the greenback retreated on Friday after information revealed slower-than-expected job development in July.

Subsequent week’s key occasions for GBP/USD

Subsequent week’s calendar for GBP/USD is kind of mild. Market members will give attention to the Financial institution of England coverage assembly, the place the central financial institution may minimize rates of interest by 25-bps. The pound had a nasty month in July as merchants fearful concerning the state of the UK financial system. 

Regardless of being among the many first international locations to signal a commerce cope with the US, the UK’s foreign money has suffered amid poor financial information. The weak reviews have led to a rise in expectations for Financial institution of England fee cuts.

GBP/USD weekly technical forecast: Decrease low confirms new downtrend

GBP/USD weekly technical forecast
GBP/USD every day chart

On the technical aspect, the GBP/USD value trades properly beneath the 22-SMA, displaying bears are within the lead. On the similar time, the RSI trades beneath 50, indicating stable bearish momentum. On the similar time, the worth not too long ago broke beneath the 1.3402 help degree to kind a decrease low. This confirms a bearish development. 

–Are you curious about studying extra about foreign exchange fundamentals? Examine our detailed guide- 

Beforehand, the worth was in a bullish development that paused close to the 1.3803 key degree. Bears took cost by breaking beneath the 22-SMA and respecting it as resistance. The bearish bias is robust, particularly for the reason that value has confirmed a brand new downtrend. 

At present, the worth has paused after making a decrease low. It would pull again to retest the not too long ago damaged 1.3402 degree earlier than dropping to contemporary lows. The following goal for GBP/USD is on the 1.3001 key help degree. A break beneath will strengthen the bearish bias.

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Tags: BoEcutFootForecastGBPUSDnearsWeekly
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