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Home Trading News Forex

EUR/USD Outlook: Upside Lacks Follow-Through Momentum Near Mid-1.1500

November 7, 2025
in Forex
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EUR/USD Outlook: Upside Lacks Follow-Through Momentum Near Mid-1.1500
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The EUR/USD outlook reveals restricted upside amid the declining threat momentum and renewed greenback demand.

ECB VP Luis de Guindos stays glad with present rates of interest and alerts no urgency for near-term adjustments.

Merchants await the US preliminary UoM reviews and commentary from President Nagel and FOMC Jefferson for additional coverage cues. 

The EUR/USD outlook reveals consolidation, buying and selling round 1.1550, after pulling again barely from Thursday’s excessive amid waning threat urge for food and combined Eurozone information. This shift weighs on the euro sentiment, whereas the revived dollar’s safe-haven lifts the greenback.

Markets remained cautious after a recent sell-off in world equities, prompted by weak point in AI-linked expertise shares. This transfer sparked fears of an overvalued sector and turned traders’ curiosity in the direction of the greenback. 

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In the meantime, the extended Federal authorities shutdown has halted key financial information, which incorporates at present’s Nonfarm Payrolls report as nicely. The traders now deal with secondary information sources for near-term cues. 

Moreover, the US Challenger Job Cuts report revealed as much as 153,000 job cuts in October, the biggest decline up to now twenty years. The information reignited hopes for a December Fed reduce. Nonetheless, the Fed officers gave combined alerts, corresponding to Chicago Fed’s Goolsbee lowering expectations for aggressive easing. 

In Europe, the German commerce information revealed a narrower surplus, whereas the Eurozone retail gross sales witnessed an surprising contraction, weighing on the sentiment and offsetting earlier optimism from upbeat companies exercise. 

Moreover, ECB Vice President Luis de Guindos expressed his satisfaction with the present rates of interest and his optimism about companies inflation and development, signaling no urgency for near-term adjustments. 

EUR/USD Day by day Key Occasions

The numerous occasions within the day embrace:

German Buba President Nagel Speaks
FOMC Member Jefferson Speaks
US Prelim UoM Shopper Sentiment
US Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations

On Friday, merchants look ahead to the preliminary UoM shopper sentiment and inflation expectations report, together with commentary from President Nagel and FOMC member Jefferson, for additional path into the coverage. 

EUR/USD Technical Outlook: Stays Vary-Certain Amid Restricted Momentum

EUR/USD Technical Outlook
EUR/USD 4-hour chart

The EUR/USD 4-hour chart suggests a gentle restoration because the pair trades close to 1.1550. The worth stays beneath the important thing 50-, 100-, and 200-period MAs, signaling a continued bearish momentum regardless of the current consolidation. 

The RSI is above 50.0, indicating the pair is more likely to enter a range-bound part earlier than its subsequent transfer. A failure to carry above the 1.1530 degree might expose the 1.1500 degree. Conversely, a breach above 1.1595 might lengthen beneficial properties in the direction of 1.1630. Nonetheless, a sustained upside appears unsure with out broader euro energy. 

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