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Home Trading News Forex

EUR/USD Price Analysis: Trump-Putin Peace Optimism Lifts Euro

August 15, 2025
in Forex
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EUR/USD Price Analysis: Trump-Putin Peace Optimism Lifts Euro
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The EUR/USD worth evaluation exhibits the euro recovering from a few of its losses.

The euro gained as merchants awaited the end result of a gathering between Trump and Putin.

The US PPI elevated by 0.9%, beating estimates of 0.2%.

The EUR/USD worth evaluation exhibits the euro recovering from a few of its losses as merchants watch peace talks between Trump and Putin. In the meantime, the greenback gained on Thursday after knowledge revealed hotter-than-expected wholesale inflation in July, resulting in a drop in Fed charge reduce bets.

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The euro gained as merchants awaited the end result of a gathering between Trump and Putin. The US president has threatened extreme penalties for Russia if it doesn’t work to finish the warfare in Ukraine. Progress in the direction of a peace deal can be bullish for the euro.

In the meantime, the greenback discovered some help on Thursday after stunning wholesale inflation numbers. In response to knowledge, the US PPI elevated by 0.9%, beating estimates of 0.2%. Producer costs are an indicator of future client costs. Due to this fact, policymakers would possibly get cautious once more about charge cuts. 

The report dashed hopes for a 50-bps charge reduce in September. Nevertheless, market individuals are nonetheless anticipating a smaller charge reduce. The labor market has slowed down considerably and client costs had been softer than anticipated.  

EUR/USD key occasions at this time 

US core retail gross sales m/m
US retail gross sales m/m
US preliminary UoM client sentiment
US preliminary UoM inflation expectations

EUR/USD technical worth evaluation: Shallow uptrend factors to weaker momentum

EUR/USD technical price analysis
EUR/USD 4-hour chart

On the technical aspect, the EUR/USD worth trades above the 30-SMA, with the RSI above 50, suggesting a bullish bias. Since bulls took cost close to the 1.1400 help degree, they’ve maintained the development, making increased highs and lows. Nevertheless, it has not revered the SMA as a help line. As an alternative, the value has punctured the road a number of instances, exhibiting it’s a shallow development. 

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Furthermore, the punctures present that bears are fairly sturdy and hold difficult the uptrend. Moreover, though the value has made a better excessive, the RSI has made a decrease one, indicating weaker bullish momentum. On the identical time, the RSI has made decrease lows whereas the value has made increased ones. This can be a signal that bears are getting stronger. Nonetheless, for the reason that worth is above the SMA, it’d climb to a brand new excessive. Due to this fact, EUR/USD would possibly retest the 1.1750 resistance degree.

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Tags: analysisEuroEURUSDLiftsOptimismPeacePriceTrumpPutin
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