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Home Trading News Forex

GBP/USD Forecast: Buyers Regain Despite Downbeat UK GDP

June 12, 2025
in Forex
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GBP/USD Forecast: Buyers Regain Despite Downbeat UK GDP
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The GBP/USD forecast stays supported regardless of downbeat UK GDP information.
Cooler US CPI and tariff uncertainty hold the greenback weaker.
Market individuals at the moment are eyeing US PPI and unemployment claims information due at this time.

The GBP/USD forecast stays broadly bullish amid the greenback’s weak point. Nevertheless, at this time’s UK GDP information reported by the ONS confirmed financial contraction sooner than anticipated. On Wednesday, the value noticed a big rise close to 1.3600 because the US CPI reported softer-than-expected, elevating issues for the Fed’s “increased for longer” coverage.

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The British pound slipped from the every day highs above 1.3580 in the direction of the 1.3525 space earlier than discovering a renewed energy. The pair is buying and selling at 1.3580 on the time of writing.

The UK GDP was anticipated to shrink -0.1% towards the earlier studying of 0.2% for March. Nevertheless, the figures got here at -0.3% for April, lacking estimate, placing the pound beneath strain. The ONS reported that the sharp fall within the GDP is attributed to the lowered items exports to the US. The final 4 months reported consecutive rises within the economic system, whereas April noticed the biggest month-to-month fall.

The upper-than-projected decline within the UK economic system mixed with the rising unemployment could power the Financial institution of England to proceed with easing coverage. In Might, the financial institution had opted for the gradual and cautious easing by slashing the charges by 25 bps to 4.5%. These financial shocks could enhance the hypothesis of BoE’s extra charge cuts.

On the opposite facet of the equation, the US greenback stays weak on Thursday as President Trump threatened to ship the letters to the international locations not negotiating in good religion to just accept his imposed tariffs.

Key Occasions Forward

US PPI
US Unemployment Claims

GBP/USD technical forecast: Broad consolidation inside uptrend

GBP/USD technical forecast
GBP/USD 4-hour chart

The GBP/USD every day chart exhibits a powerful bullish pattern as the value strikes north inside the uptrend. The pair stays strongly supported by the 20-day SMA. Nevertheless, the pair exhibits consolidation inside the vary of 1.3480 to 1.3616. The 14-day RSI is at 60.0, which exhibits the pair will not be overbought but and tends to realize additional.

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Alternatively, breaking the 20-day SMA could collect sturdy promoting traction, and the value could slip in the direction of the decrease boundary of the channel at 1.3270 forward of 1.3200.

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Tags: BuyersDownbeatForecastGBPUSDGDPRegain
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