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Home Trading News Commodities

Gold, silver reel from worst-ever rout ahead of Budget: What lies ahead for prices?

February 1, 2026
in Commodities
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Gold, silver reel from worst-ever rout ahead of Budget: What lies ahead for prices?
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After a brutal January 30 selloff that despatched silver tumbling 27%—over Rs 1 lakh in a single session, its steepest-ever MCX fall—and pushed gold to its sharpest one-day drop in 13 years with a 12% slide, buyers at the moment are grappling with shaken sentiment and trying to find the following path.

The Multi Commodity Change of India (MCX) will stay open for buying and selling on Sunday, February 1, in a particular session as the federal government presents the Union Price range 2026. The change will conduct a dwell buying and selling session as per normal market timings.

General, the current sharp correction in each gold and silver displays a leverage-driven flush and sentiment reset moderately than a reversal of the broader pattern, says Ponmudi R, CEO of Enrich Cash. Whereas near-term volatility might persist as a consequence of greenback actions, disciplined shopping for at decrease ranges, guided by key help zones and broader channel traits, is predicted to form the following part of the continued secular bull market into 2026.

On January 30, home gold mirrored the worldwide selloff, retreating from highs close to Rs 1,80,000+ to stabilise round Rs 1,49,500–Rs 1,49,653, reflecting the same proportion decline. The contract is buying and selling close to the 20-day EMA, whereas the long-term upward channel stays intact. Key help lies within the Rs 1,40,000–Rs 1,45,000 zone, bolstered by the agency USD/INR backdrop. Holding above Rs 1,40,000 preserves the optimistic medium-term bias, whereas a sustained rebound above Rs 1,55,000 might reignite momentum towards Rs 1,65,000–Rs 1,80,000+ within the coming months, supported by home tailwinds and structural demand.

Home silver witnessed a pointy correction from document highs close to Rs 4,20,048 per kg to the Rs 2,91,925–Rs 2,91,000 vary. Whereas volatility stays elevated, key structural help is seen round Rs 2,91,000, with stronger help positioned close to the Rs 2,51,000–Rs 2,52,000 zone, which aligns with the 50-day EMA. Industrial demand continues to supply relative power, and a sustained transfer again above Rs 3,00,000–Rs 3,10,000 might point out a return of shopping for curiosity, probably pushing costs towards Rs 3,40,000–Rs 3,50,000 and better amid provide constraints.

Reside Occasions

Additional, CME Group has raised margin necessities on Comex gold and silver futures after costs recorded a few of their sharpest declines in a long time, a transfer geared toward safeguarding market stability amid heightened volatility.Greater margin necessities sometimes have a cooling impact on gold and silver costs, particularly within the close to time period, as a result of they immediately affect dealer participation and leverage.First, buying and selling turns into costlier. When exchanges like CME elevate margins, merchants should deposit extra collateral to carry the identical positions. This typically forces extremely leveraged contributors to both scale back their publicity or exit positions altogether.

In accordance with an change assertion issued Friday, margins for gold futures beneath the non-heightened threat profile shall be elevated to eight% of the underlying contract worth from the present 6%. For positions categorized beneath the heightened threat profile, margins will rise to eight.8% from 6.6%. Silver futures will see even steeper revisions. Margins for non-heightened threat positions will climb to fifteen% from 11%, whereas these beneath the heightened threat class shall be raised to 16.5% from 12.1%. The change additionally introduced margin will increase for platinum and palladium futures, reflecting broader volatility throughout treasured metals. The revised margin necessities will take impact from Monday’s shut.

Regardless of the sharp pullback, the broader bullish outlook for gold and silver heading into 2026 stays intact, specialists say. Key structural drivers proceed to help the pattern, together with sustained central financial institution accumulation of gold and silver’s provide constraints amid rising industrial demand from sectors corresponding to inexperienced power, electrical autos, synthetic intelligence, electronics and photo voltaic. Ongoing geopolitical uncertainties and the push for diversification away from fiat currencies additionally proceed to underpin sentiment.

Additionally learn: CME raises gold, silver margins after steepest single-day plunges in decadesThe current correction is broadly seen as a wholesome reset that has helped clear extra leverage, speculative froth and overbought circumstances, thereby creating room for extra sustainable upside as soon as sentiment stabilises and shopping for curiosity at decrease ranges returns.

(Disclaimer: Suggestions, options, views and opinions given by the specialists are their very own. These don’t symbolize the views of The Financial Instances)



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Tags: AheadBudgetgoldLiespricesReelroutSilverworstever
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