XRP is on observe to shut its fifth consecutive month in detrimental territory, a uncommon stretch of sustained losses that has not been seen since late 2016. Regardless of holding at round $1.30, the token has declined almost 30% in February alone, based on CoinGecko information, extending a broader five-month decline of roughly 50%.
XRP Flashes Pre-Bull Run Sample
The final time XRP recorded 5 straight purple month-to-month candles was between October 2016 and February 2017. Throughout that interval, the value slipped from $0.00885 to $0.00557, a decline of 37%, earlier than discovering a backside close to $0.0055 in March 2017. By Could 2017, XRP had surged to $0.3988 — a acquire of seven,000% in simply two months.
After consolidating via the summer season, the token climbed once more, ultimately reaching $3.31 in January 2018. From its March 2017 low, that marked a 60,000% improve.
Associated Studying
With XRP now following an identical path, market analyst Sam Daodu examined the comparability in a brand new report launched on Monday.
Daodu famous that the present setup “rhymes” with the 2016–2017 construction: 5 consecutive months of declines, tightening worth motion, and indicators that promoting stress could also be exhausting itself. Nevertheless, he cautioned that the market surroundings has modified dramatically since XRP was “a micro‑cap token.
In 2017, XRP’s complete market worth was lower than $300 million. Daodu identified that at that degree, even a couple of hundred million {dollars} in new capital would possibly elevate the value by 1000’s of share factors.
At the moment, XRP has a market capitalization of about $88 billion. Based on the analyst, this scale makes a 60,000% surge nearly inconceivable underneath any lifelike market circumstances.
250% Rally Nonetheless In Play
A comparable rally would indicate a transfer to roughly $852 per token. With roughly 58 billion XRP in circulation, that may translate to a market capitalization exceeding $49 trillion — greater than the mixed worth of all shares listed on the New York Inventory Alternate.
Nonetheless, Daodu argues that whereas a repeat of the 2017 explosion is off the desk, a significant restoration stays inside attain if the bottoming sample holds.
A return to XRP’s July 2025 excessive of $3.65 would characterize a acquire of about 157% from present ranges. A transfer towards $5 — close to the higher vary of analyst forecasts for 2026 — would quantity to a 252% improve.
Associated Studying
Much more conservative projections counsel room for upside. Customary Chartered just lately diminished its XRP goal by 65%, citing close to‑time period headwinds, however its revised forecast of $2.80 would nonetheless indicate a roughly 97% rise from present buying and selling costs.
The important thing distinction on this cycle, based on Daodu, lies within the supply of demand. The explosive rally of 2017 was largely pushed by retail hypothesis.
In distinction, any substantial beneficial properties this time would seemingly rely on institutional flows, together with potential trade‑traded fund (ETF) inflows, broader institutional adoption, and a restoration throughout the broader crypto market.
Whereas one other 60,000% run is unrealistic, Daodu believes a 150% to 250% advance is achievable if momentum shifts and capital returns to the sector.
Featured picture from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com
