The S&P 500 Index ($SPX) (SPY) as we speak is up +0.59%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI) (DIA) is up +0.51%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX) (QQQ) is up +0.51%. March E-mini S&P futures (ESH26) are up +0.58%, and March E-mini Nasdaq futures (NQH26) are up +0.49%.
Inventory indexes are buying and selling greater as we speak on assist from tech shares and energy in a number of the Magnificent Seven, with Tesla (TSLA) up greater than +2% and Nvidia (NVDA) up greater than +1%. Sentiment in the direction of AI shares has improved after Micron’s (MU) constructive outcomes final week, which additionally supported chip shares. Additionally, treasured metals miners are exhibiting energy as we speak with gold and silver posting new file highs.
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Seasonal elements are bullish for shares. Based on knowledge from Citadel Securities, since 1928, the S&P 500 has risen 75% of the time within the final two weeks of December, climbing 1.3% on common.
In a bullish issue, Fed Governor Stephen Miran stated as we speak, “If we don’t alter coverage down, then I feel we do run dangers” of a recession. Nevertheless, he additionally stated he doesn’t foresee a recession.
The markets are discounting a 20% likelihood that the FOMC will lower the fed funds goal vary by 25 bp on the subsequent FOMC assembly on January 27-28.
Abroad inventory markets are blended as we speak. The Euro Stoxx 50 is down -0.21%. China’s Shanghai Composite closed up +0.69% for the fourth consecutive each day achieve. Japan’s Nikkei Inventory 225 closed up +1.81%.
Curiosity Charges
March 10-year T-notes (ZNH6) as we speak are down -4 ticks. The ten-year T-note yield is up +1.6 bp at 4.163%. T-note costs are being undercut by provide overhang. The Treasury will promote $69 billion of 2-year T-notes as we speak, $70 billion of 5-year T-notes and $28 billion of 2-year floating fee notes on Tuesday, and $44 billion of 7-year T-notes on Wednesday.
The Treasury yield curve has lately steepened. Quick-end yields are being pushed decrease by the FOMC’s announcement after its final assembly that it will start buying as much as $40 billion of short-term T-bills a month to spice up liquidity within the monetary system. In the meantime, longer-term Treasury yields have seen upward strain from considerations about inflation and the Fed’s independence.
European authorities bond yields are buying and selling greater as we speak. The ten-year German bund yield as we speak rose to a 9-month excessive and is up +0.6 bp at 2.902%. The ten-year UK gilt yield is up +1.6 bp at 4.540%.
Swaps are discounting a 0% likelihood for a -25 bp fee lower by the ECB at its subsequent coverage assembly on February 5.
US Inventory Movers
The Magnificent Seven shares are blended as we speak. Notable gainers embody a rally of greater than +2% in Tesla (TSLA) and a rally of greater than +1% in Nvidia (NVDA).
Chip shares are shifting greater as we speak on continued assist after final Friday’s rallies of +7% in Micron Expertise (MU) and +6% in Superior Micro Units (AMD). Micron (MU) is a chip chief once more as we speak, with a achieve of practically +2%. Marvel Expertise (MRVL) is up greater than +1% as we speak after Citi issued a constructive catalyst look ahead to the inventory forward of January’s CES convention.
Cryptocurrency-exposed shares are buying and selling greater, with Bitcoin (^BTCUSD) up about +2%.
Galaxy Digital Holdings (GLXY) is up greater than +5%. Coinbase World (COIN) is up greater than +2%. Holdings (MARA) and Technique (MSTR) are up greater than +1%.
Treasured metals miners are seeing assist as we speak with new file highs in silver and gold costs. Newmont (NEM) is up greater than +3%, and Coeur Mining (CDE) is up greater than +4%.
Warner Bros Discovery (WBD) is up about +3% after Larry Ellison agreed to offer a $40.4 billion private assure for Paramount Skydance’s (PSKY) bid to purchase WBD, placing strain on Netflix (NFLX) to sweeten its bid.
Rocket Lab (RKLB) is up greater than +10% after asserting final Friday that it received its largest contract but to construct 18 satellites.
Honeywell (HON) is down greater than -1% after administration adjusted its steering to mirror the reclassification of its spun-off superior supplies enterprise as discontinued operations.
Janus Henderson (JHG) is up greater than +3% after information that Nelson Peltz’s Trian Fund Administration and Basic Catalyst agreed to purchase Janus for about $7.4 billion.
Earnings Stories(12/22/2025)
Barnes & Noble Schooling Inc (BNED) and Rezolve AI PLC (RZLV).
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