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Home Trading News Forex

USD/CAD Outlook: Sentiment Shifts as US Jobs Data Disappoints

August 2, 2025
in Forex
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USD/CAD Outlook: Sentiment Shifts as US Jobs Data Disappoints
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The USD/CAD outlook signifies a sudden shift in sentiment.

The US financial system added solely 73,000 jobs in July.

Trump imposed a 35% tariff on Canada after the 2 nations failed to achieve a commerce deal.

The USD/CAD outlook signifies a sudden shift in sentiment after the US launched a poor month-to-month employment report. Nonetheless, fundamentals nonetheless level to additional weak point for the loonie after Trump imposed a 35% tariff on Canada. 

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The US financial system added solely 73,000 jobs in July. That is nearly half of the earlier studying. In the meantime, economists had anticipated the financial system so as to add 106,000 jobs. On the similar time, the unemployment charge elevated from 4.1% to 4.2% as anticipated. 

The report may enhance stress on the Fed to decrease borrowing prices. Subsequently, charge lower bets for September will possible go up. Through the coverage assembly, Powell had confused on unemployment, which may trigger the central financial institution to imagine a extra dovish tone.

“Fed Chair Jay Powell has positioned higher emphasis on the unemployment charge, which is anticipated to rise marginally from 4.1% to 4.2%,” stated ING FX strategist Francesco Pesole.

The roles miss led to a pointy decline within the greenback, which allowed the Canadian greenback to breathe. On Friday, Trump imposed a 35% tariff on Canada after the 2 nations failed to achieve a commerce deal. The levy will damage Canada’s financial system by decreasing demand for its items. This may possible stress the Financial institution of Canada to renew charge cuts.

USD/CAD key occasions immediately

USD/CAD technical outlook: Bearish momentum triggers retreat

USD/CAD technical outlook
USD/CAD 4-hour chart

On the technical facet, the USD/CAD worth has pulled again sharply after making new highs above the 1.3850 key stage. Nevertheless, it stays above the 30-SMA, an indication that the bullish bias stays intact. On the similar time, the RSI remains to be above 50, suggesting sturdy bullish momentum. 

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Nevertheless, bears have proven sudden energy by making such a big candle. If it closes with a big physique, it would kind an engulfing candle that may sign a probable reversal. Such an final result would permit bears to push the worth beneath the 30-SMA. 

Then again, if it closes with a big wick on the backside, the uptrend would possibly proceed after a quick pullback. If USD/CAD continues increased, the subsequent goal will likely be on the 1.3900 key psychological stage. 

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Tags: dataDisappointsJobsOutlookSentimentShiftsUSDCAD
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