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Home Trading News Forex

USD/CAD Weekly Forecast: Optimism Grows on Trade Talks

July 6, 2025
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USD/CAD Weekly Forecast: Optimism Grows on Trade Talks
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The USD/CAD weekly forecast reveals optimism about US-Canada commerce talks.

Demand for the greenback fell after the US Senate handed Trump’s controversial invoice.

The pair recovered barely on the finish of the week after upbeat US employment numbers.

The USD/CAD weekly forecast reveals optimism relating to progress in commerce negotiations between Canada and the US. 

Ups and downs of USD/CAD 

USD/CAD had a bearish week because the Canadian greenback gained on hopes of a commerce deal between Canada and the US. Initially of the week, knowledge indicated weak spot within the US labor market. Non-public employment unexpectedly dropped, weighing on the greenback. 

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On the identical time, demand for the greenback fell after the US Senate handed Trump’s controversial invoice. In the meantime, progress in talks between Canada and the US boosted the Canadian greenback. Nonetheless, the pair recovered barely on the finish of the week after upbeat US employment numbers.

Subsequent week’s key occasions for USD/CAD

Subsequent week, the US will launch the FOMC minutes. In the meantime, Canada will launch its essential month-to-month employment figures. 

The FOMC minutes will present the tone of policymakers over the last assembly. Due to this fact, it’d comprise clues on future coverage strikes. To date, merchants are pricing the primary charge lower in September. 

In the meantime, Canada’s employment report will proceed to form the outlook for Financial institution of Canada charge cuts. At the moment, market contributors are pricing a 37.25% likelihood of a lower in July.

USD/CAD weekly technical forecast: Second try at 1.3550 is weak

USD/CAD weekly technical forecast
USD/CAD each day chart

On the technical facet, the USD/CAD value is trying a second break beneath the 1.3550 assist stage. The value trades beneath the 22-SMA with the RSI beneath 50, supporting a bearish bias. USD/CAD has maintained a downtrend, with the value making decrease highs and lows. Though the value pierced the 22-SMA a number of occasions, it revered a resistance trendline. 

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Nevertheless, as bears problem the 1.3550 assist a second time, it’s clear that momentum has weakened. The RSI has made the next low, suggesting fading momentum. Due to this fact, if bears are weaker this time, they may fail to interrupt beneath the assist. 

In such a case, the value would break above the SMA and the trendline resistance. This could enable bulls to retest the 1.4003 key resistance stage. Nevertheless, if bears regain momentum earlier than this occurs, the value will break beneath 1.3550, persevering with the downtrend. 

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Tags: ForecastGrowsOptimismtalksTradeUSDCADWeekly
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