AWTA core take a look at volumes had been operating 18% down 12 months on 12 months for the three months to September. October has proved totally different, with a 5.5% rise in complete AWTA in comparison with October 2024. A 33% (512 cents clear) rise in value from mid-2025 to October 1 has lured saved wool on-farm into retailer. There are sufficient tales from brokers doing the rounds to imagine that many of the swing from falling to rising volumes for October is probably going as a result of these shares, plus some shearing introduced ahead as a result of dry circumstances. November and December volumes will present sufficient knowledge to check this view, however it’s a cheap speculation to work with in the intervening time.
To have a look at adjustments in quantity by micron class, Determine 1 reveals the three-month smoothed change in japanese and western AWTA core take a look at volumes. The Western Australian clip is swinging broader on the again of improved seasonal circumstances. In October, the typical merino fibre diameter for wool bought in Western Australia reached its highest degree in two years. This reveals in Determine 1 with massive falls in volumes examined on the finer fringe of the distributions and will increase in 20/21 micron volumes (a uncommon incidence in recent times). Regardless of this fall in western wonderful wool manufacturing, 16.5–17.5 MPGs have been quoted frequently in Fremantle in latest months.
Within the east, the merino clip continues to be operating at finer ranges (some 0.2 micron finer than October 2024), so sub-17 micron volumes are up and 19 micron and broader volumes are down. Crossbred volumes are additionally falling, reflecting the robust circumstances of the previous 12 months in Victoria, southern NSW, and southern South Australia, the place roughly half the crossbred clip comes from.
Determine 2 reveals the identical adjustments as Determine 1 however in farm bale fairly than proportion phrases. The 19 to 21 micron class volumes are being dragged decrease by falls in japanese manufacturing, regardless of will increase in western volumes.
Lastly, in Determine 3, the rolling year-on-year change in complete quantity (three-month smoothed) is proven from 2018 onwards, together with a weighted rolling 12-month rainfall rank for wool manufacturing areas. Rainfall has been ‘agin’ wool manufacturing for a big a part of the previous seven years. The low rainfall rank (dragged down by South Australia, Victoria, and the Riverina in NSW) has been low in 2024 and 2025, contributing largely to the autumn in wool quantity (and sheep numbers).
