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Home Trading News Forex

AUD/USD Price Analysis: Risk-off Mood Pressures the Aussie as US CPI Takes Focus

December 23, 2025
in Forex
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AUD/USD Price Analysis: Risk-off Mood Pressures the Aussie as US CPI Takes Focus
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The AUD/USD value evaluation suggests a bearish bias as a slide in equities triggers outflows from the Aussie to safe-haven belongings.
RBA charge hike prospects proceed to supply assist to the Australian greenback.
Markets await in the present day’s US CPI and RBA assembly minutes subsequent week for contemporary impetus.

The Australian greenback fell under 0.6600 on Thursday, extending its decline to a sixth consecutive session and reaching a two-week low. AUD/USD weakened as world danger sentiment deteriorated, with falling fairness markets weighing on risk-linked currencies.

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The Aussie has tracked Wall Avenue intently in latest months. This hyperlink confirmed once more as world equities slid on renewed promoting in know-how shares. Issues about rising company debt, pushed by heavy funding in synthetic intelligence, prompted buyers to hunt safer belongings, thereby decreasing demand for the Australian greenback.

In the meantime, charge expectations proceed to supply some assist. Markets nonetheless value in not less than one Reserve Financial institution of Australia charge hike subsequent 12 months. A February transfer carries a 25% chance, rising to about 40% in March and practically 70% by Might. The Australian authorities’s upward revision to its inflation outlook earlier this week strengthened the view that the RBA could preserve coverage tight, limiting draw back stress on the foreign money.

The main focus now shifts to the minutes from the RBA’s December assembly, that are resulting from be launched subsequent week. Merchants will search for indicators on how involved policymakers stay about inflation and whether or not additional tightening stays underneath dialogue. Any agency stance on inflation dangers may assist stabilize the Aussie after its latest pullback.

Consideration additionally turns to the US CPI report due later in the present day. Headline and core inflation are each anticipated close to 3.0% YoY. A softer studying may weigh on the US greenback, easing stress on AUD/USD, whereas firmer inflation would possible assist the buck and lengthen the pair’s decline.

Within the close to time period, AUD/USD stays pushed by fairness market strikes and inflation knowledge, with danger sentiment setting the tone.

AUD/USD Technical Value Evaluation: Consumers Fading Close to 0.6600

AUD/USD Technical Price Analysis
AUD/USD 4-hour chart

The AUD/USD value has dropped under the demand zone round 0.6610, with fast assist at 0.6600, a spherical quantity confluence by 100-period MA. In the meantime, the RSI above the oversold space suggests cushion for extra weak spot. The value may check the horizontal degree at 0.6580 forward of the 200-period MA at 0.6550.

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On the flip facet, the pair may discover fast resistance across the 20-period MA at 0.6630 forward of a swing excessive close to 0.6660. Nevertheless, the trail of least resistance lies on the draw back.

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Tags: analysisAUDUSDAussieCPIfocusmoodPressuresPriceRiskOffTakes
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